westguy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Looks like a solid eye is finally about to form on the latest satellite images...I'm no wx, but that doesn't seem like a good thingI think its actually a slot of dry air. The good news is that Ike has missed the best chance it had for rapid strengthening. The bad news is that the Gulf could support more moderate strengthening. Either way this is a huge surge threat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
editor Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Cool wind web site, sheeats. Thanks for posting that. For those thinking of getting out of town, the HAIF:Traffic interactive map is turning redder every time I check it. 11:15am: 12:45pm: Normally at the noon hour on a weekday the only red is along the West Loop southbound. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark F. Barnes Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 The CW Traffic in iPhone is working well Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OkieEric Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I think its actually a slot of dry air. The good news is that Ike has missed the best chance it had for rapid strengthening. The bad news is that the Gulf could support more moderate strengthening. Either way this is a huge surge threat.Yeah...I only said that b/c it was "still" for a couple of frames there, but then disappeared - no complaints here! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westguy76 Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I apologize if someone has posted this already, but load this kmz file into google earth - it's the latest track, and at the current time, my house is .42 miles to the east of the track - yikes!! http://hurricane.methaz.org/tracking/data/..._kml_public.kmzI'm less than 3 miles east in Cinco Ranch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 (edited) It's beginning to jog more to the northwest... is it a wobble or is this thing pulling a Rita??? Edited September 11, 2008 by HtownWxBoy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sifuwong Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 i use this site also for traffic and cams. http://traffic.houstontranstar.org/layers/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
memebag Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I'm less than 3 miles east in Cinco RanchLast night the NHC's track went through the middle of my house. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sifuwong Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I think its actually a slot of dry air. The good news is that Ike has missed the best chance it had for rapid strengthening. The bad news is that the Gulf could support more moderate strengthening. Either way this is a huge surge threat.I've been hearing that also with it being so huge of a storm. Still, i expect at least 65mph winds thru Sugarland... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sheeats Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Reminder that the live chat with Eric Berger at the Chronicle is going on right now:http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 It's looking like a Galveston Bay landfall now... that's good for Houston in that we are now west of the center though it's very close... could still go right over us. This could pull a Rita. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westguy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 (edited) The pressure's risen a bit, which is good. (It went from 945 mb to 952 in their intermediate update.) They're still forecasting a category 3 hurricane, but a weaker hurricane isn't out of the question. Don't go home yet because the biggest danger is the surge that it could cause. Edited September 11, 2008 by westguy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayshoota Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Jim Cantore on WC was just reporting that he is certain it will hit Galveston. Just passing that on, take it for what it is worth. The worst part of what he said was talking about the boarding up of the windows and said "I am standing in front of...what are these things called...oh yeah, a strip mall..." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Jim Cantore on WC was just reporting that he is certain it will hit Galveston. Just passing that on, take it for what it is worth. The worst part of what he said was talking about the boarding up of the windows and said "I am standing in front of...what are these things called...oh yeah, a strip mall..."Uuugh I hate The Weather Channel... and I am a Meteorologist! First... will Galveston see "something"... yes, almost definitely... will it take a direct hit... not sure yet! Right now it's looking like Freeport to Sabine Pass... more likely Galveston to Beaumont. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayshoota Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Uuugh I hate The Weather Channel... and I am a Meteorologist! First... will Galveston see "something"... yes, almost definitely... will it take a direct hit... not sure yet! Right now it's looking like Freeport to Sabine Pass... more likely Galveston to Beaumont.hehe..that is why I said take it for what it is worth. I know a lot of people don't like his judgment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark F. Barnes Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 THey should have cloned Harold Taft before he died Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Latest National Hurricane Center forecast... direct hit over Houston... could still go east of Houston but the last 3 hours it's been going more westerly as opposed to northwesterly... not good for Houston. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wernicke Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 (edited) I predict a non-event... the winds will slow by the time it gets here, and it is moving too quickly to cause major flooding.As an aside, why are there so many Ike-related threads -- just one wouldn't do?? Edited September 11, 2008 by wernicke Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I predict a non-event... the winds will slow by the time it gets here, and it is moving too quickly to cause major flooding.As an aside, why are there so many Ike-related threads -- just one wouldn't do??I predict that those who take a direct hit from Ike will not consider it a 'non-event'... just my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolie Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 htownwx, are you millwx on dailykos? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pumapayam Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 Jim Cantore on WC was just reporting that he is certain it will hit Galveston. Just passing that on, take it for what it is worth. The worst part of what he said was talking about the boarding up of the windows and said "I am standing in front of...what are these things called...oh yeah, a strip mall..."Jim Cantore is the MAN, tons better than Frank Billingsley, but I only have a Frank Billingsley avatar made.Hunker down! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
editor Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 As an aside, why are there so many Ike-related threads -- just one wouldn't do??There are a lot of aspects to this event. Breaking things up makes it more organized and easier to find things some people are looking for.The fact that the section has 462 messages in three days shows there is great interest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KimberlySayWhat Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I was thinking, they need to make a big budget disaster movie about a massive hurricane in the gulf and title it "Cone of Uncertainty". Why hasn't it been done before? Everyone hunker down and stay safe! I hate hurricane chaos. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HtownWxBoy Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 htownwx, are you millwx on dailykos?Nope.I was thinking, they need to make a big budget disaster movie about a massive hurricane in the gulf and title it "Cone of Uncertainty". Why hasn't it been done before? Everyone hunker down and stay safe! I hate hurricane chaos.Who needs a movie... WE ARE LIVING IT! ha ha ha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmariar Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 (edited) National Weather Service, Galveston Office:All neighborhoods [in Galveston]... and possibly entire coastal communities... will be inundated during high tide. Persons not heeding evacuation orders in single family one or two story homes will face certain death. Many residences of average construction directly on the coast will be destroyed. Widespread and devastating personal property damage is likely elsewhere. Vehicles left behind will likely be swept away. Numerous roads will be swamped... some may be washed away by the water. Entire flood prone coastal communities will be cutoff. Water levels may exceed 9 feet for more than a mile inland. Coastal residents in multi-story facilities risk being cutoff. Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will exacerbate property damage... with massive destruction of homes... including those of block construction. Damage from beach erosion could take years to repair. Edited September 11, 2008 by tmariar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woolie Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I was thinking, they need to make a big budget disaster movie about a massive hurricane in the gulf and title it "Cone of Uncertainty". Why hasn't it been done before? Everyone hunker down and stay safe! I hate hurricane chaos.disaster movies always portray events that can't be anticipated or forecast in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
editor Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 National Weather Service, Galveston Office:All neighborhoods [in Galveston]... and possibly entire coastal communities... will be inundated during high tide. Persons not heeding evacuation orders in single family one or two story homes will face certain death. Many residences of average construction directly on the coast will be destroyed. Widespread and devastating personal property damage is likely elsewhere. Vehicles left behind will likely be swept away. Numerous roads will be swamped... some may be washed away by the water. Entire flood prone coastal communities will be cutoff. Water levels may exceed 9 feet for more than a mile inland. Coastal residents in multi-story facilities risk being cutoff. Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will exacerbate property damage... with massive destruction of homes... including those of block construction. Damage from beach erosion could take years to repair.I know that statement was from the Weather Service, but I've been reading the blog that excerpted it for the last couple of days and it's the most panic-inducing weather read I've ever seen. If you're a fan of disaster books, it's worth bookmarking.Most meteorologists I know don't get worked up into a frenzy the way that blog does. I know our meteorologist HAIFers are busy doing more important things than cruising this message board, but if one's around I'd like to hear their estimation of what's written there. Is it really all that bad?disaster movies always portray events that can't be anticipated or forecast in advance.Or they're forecast by a rugged looking, yet super smart action hero who can save the day in the last five minutes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmariar Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I know that statement was from the Weather Service, but I've been reading the blog that excerpted it for the last couple of days and it's the most panic-inducing weather read I've ever seen. If you're a fan of disaster books, it's worth bookmarking.Most meteorologists I know don't get worked up into a frenzy the way that blog does. I know our meteorologist HAIFers are busy doing more important things than cruising this message board, but if one's around I'd like to hear their estimation of what's written there. Is it really all that bad?.I'm curious, too - the link on the blog didn't go to the weather office referenced and I couldn't quickly independently verify the post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JLWM8609 Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 I was thinking, they need to make a big budget disaster movie about a massive hurricane in the gulf and title it "Cone of Uncertainty". Why hasn't it been done before? We can do it, cast it full of HAIFers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
houstonmacbro Posted September 11, 2008 Share Posted September 11, 2008 LOLI am in 5 Houston (which is the last building in downtown on the east end) and the windows in my office face east (I can see the ship channel) and south. Our building management has advised us to lower our blinds to protect our offices. I am not a rocket scientist, but I am pretty sure miniblinds aren't going to protect our offices from flying debris and glass when the windows shatter.I am jokingly telling people it would be funny if a cow ended up in our offices, alive and well of course (you know like in the movie Twister, when you see the cow go by mooing, LOL)That was one of my favorite scenes from that movie. But that (cow) would not be happy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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