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How to Grow, 2017-2027, part I: growth?

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Maybe negative environmentalism presuming to guilt and scold people's inaction is itself part of the problem but... still, the fact that this close-to-top-of-site subforum has not seen a single reply for 280 days, since a time when people had been watching it due to a thread on killing mosquitos?

That's, hmm, potentially a good piece of diagnostic information concerning care of our natural world in a pro-breakneck-expansion city bursting with engineers.

As we see a metro population of seven million approaching in the headlights, a population that the previous American city to attain it, Chicagoland, attained 55 years ago (calcs if you want 'em), we begin to see ten million on the highway signs.  I think our easy growth period is actually soon to be gone;  Chicago at that point thought their previous trends' population surge would continue, too.


Nevertheless, as part of a masters' thesis, I have gotten to consult some of these business intelligence databases whose subscriptions are more than I make in a year, and, while I can't reprint their forecasts, I think it will be permissible to share some stats if I change enough of the metro groupings and report only percentage rankings with no estimate numbers attached.  See posts below.


Edited by strickn
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2016 GDP-PPP adjusted major urban region rankings, by percentage


100    Greater Tokyo (#1)
99.3    NYC - N.NJ - Bridgeport Tri-State (#2)
68.4    JJJ (China) (#3)
66.1    L.A./Orange/Riverside/Oxnard (#4)
63.6    metro Shanghai-Suzhou-Wuxi (#5)
60.2    Greater London (#6)
57.6    Greater Moscow (#7)
54.9    Shenzhen - HK (#8)
53.7    Seoul (Sudogwon) (#9)
46.7    Île-de-France (#10)

30.3    Eastern Marmara Megaplex (#20)
29.8    Greater Houston-Galveston (#21)
29.1    The DFW Metroplex (#22)

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2027 GDP-PPP adjusted major urban region rankings, by percentage


100    JJJ (Beijing-Tianjin-Baoding) (#1)
86.1    NYC - N.NJ - Bridgeport (#2)
85.7    metro Shanghai-Suzhou-Wuxi (#3)
79.0    Greater Tokyo (#4)
69.6    Shenzhen-HK (#5)
63.6    Guangzhou-Foshan (#6)
58.6    L.A./Orange/Riverside/Oxnard (#7)
52.3    Greater London (#8)
51.5    Jakarta Raya (#9)
50.5    Московская агломерация (#10)

27.3    Greater Houston-Brazos Valley (#24)
26.9    Greater DFW-Denton-Sherman (#25)
26.2    Mumbai Metropolitan Region (#26)

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  • 5 years later...

I wasn't curious because I had forgotten this altogether.  Nice treat to see it again.  I don't still have access but it's an interesting question and I'm sure most of those cities have drastically underperformed so far relative to pre-Harvey projections.

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