PASA report shows growth trends, not

[pineda]

From Klein ISD:

"The PASA demographic study shows student growth trends for Klein ISD. By studying the census data, the demographers found a steep increase in births in recent years. This corresponds to a rise in the kindergarten population beginning in 2007. This trend is expected to continue over the next few years.

Half of the current elementary attendance zones have more kindergarten students than 12th graders, suggesting a growing student population. These elementary attendance zones include Benignus, Eiland, Epps Island, Hassler, Kaiser, Kohrville, Krahn, Kreinhop, McDougle, Metzler, Nitsch, and Schultz. The other half of the elementary attendance zones has more 12th graders than kindergarten students. This comparison points to an aging student population in those zones. These elementary attendance zones include Benfer, Brill, Ehrhardt, Greenwood Forest, Haude, Klenk, Kuehnle, Lemm, Mittelstadt, Northampton, Roth, and Theiss.

There is a trend toward growth of elementary students in the north and north central areas of the district. There is also higher growth of high school students in the northern portion of the district. The overall population of the district is stable compared to surrounding districts."

Here's what interesting to me about this piece of information from this very expensive report that Klein paid for. Benignus, Metzler and Schultz (from the supposedly "growing" part of the district) are right next to Northampton and Roth (from the supposedly "aging" part of the district). Doesn't exactly predict any "trends", does it?

[mrfootball]

From Klein ISD:

"The PASA demographic study shows student growth trends for Klein ISD. By studying the census data, the demographers found a steep increase in births in recent years. This corresponds to a rise in the kindergarten population beginning in 2007. This trend is expected to continue over the next few years.

Half of the current elementary attendance zones have more kindergarten students than 12th graders, suggesting a growing student population. These elementary attendance zones include Benignus, Eiland, Epps Island, Hassler, Kaiser, Kohrville, Krahn, Kreinhop, McDougle, Metzler, Nitsch, and Schultz. The other half of the elementary attendance zones has more 12th graders than kindergarten students. This comparison points to an aging student population in those zones. These elementary attendance zones include Benfer, Brill, Ehrhardt, Greenwood Forest, Haude, Klenk, Kuehnle, Lemm, Mittelstadt, Northampton, Roth, and Theiss.

There is a trend toward growth of elementary students in the north and north central areas of the district. There is also higher growth of high school students in the northern portion of the district. The overall population of the district is stable compared to surrounding districts."

Here's what interesting to me about this piece of information from this very expensive report that Klein paid for. Benignus, Metzler and Schultz (from the supposedly "growing" part of the district) are right next to Northampton and Roth (from the supposedly "aging" part of the district). Doesn't exactly predict any "trends", does it?

Aging? Seems like that whole area around Northampton is exploding with new development, with room to grow further.

[pineda]

Yeah, I don't know why Klein ISD relies so heavily on the PASA report. Why don't they just ask the teachers and principals at the schools for their thoughts? If they had asked at Northampton Elementary, they would have found out that since Auburn Lakes is filling out fast with lots of families with young children and they are zoned to Northampton, that means that Northampton Elementary is filled to capacity this year, and this "trend" will likely continue for many years since Auburn Lakes is fairly new and has lots of expansion room.

We have heard that next year, Auburn Lakes kids will probably be re-zoned to Metzler, which would be nice since it's even closer to them than Northampton Elementary.

BTW, I think it's kinda odd that folks who are shopping for a home both in Auburn Lakes and Creekside Park keep saying how much they like that all three schools (Northampton Elementary, Hildebrandt Intermediate and Klein Oak High School) are all right beside Northampton and so convenient for their kids.

I'm wondering what realtors in The Woodlands are telling/not telling these people. Homes in Northampton and Auburn Lakes are both zoned to these Klein ISD schools, but Creekside Park is all Tomball. And Metzler Elementary nearby? Also in Klein, not Tomball ISD.