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downtownian

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Posts posted by downtownian

  1. This "Downtown Economic Recovery Monitoring Update / December 2020" posted by Central Houston, Inc. is very interesting - all metrics are downtown from what I can tell:

    Office

    -Estimated 16.1% of employees in-office downtown

    -Office vacancy at 21.2%; rental rates down to $36.41/sf

    Residential

    -Core population of 10,251 residents across 6,279 units

    -Occupancy of 82.6% in December, down 7.4%(!) over last 12 months but inline with 84% in Midtown and 84.3% in Upper Kirby

    -Rent is still 15% premium to other areas

    Lodging

    -14.1% occupancy in November and $131.27 average daily rate = $18.53 RevPAR

    -The historical occupancy by month on page 10 is very interesting - (4.1% occupancy in April 2020!)

    Food and Beverage

    -75% of street level restaurants excluding bars are open and 67% of tunnel restaurants are open

     

    Seems really negative but there is so much potential once things start reopening - the Main Street outdoor seating initiative, POST, all the construction. I'm excited to see how it all plays out. 

     

    Source

    https://www.centralhouston.org/media/filer_public/29/8d/298d8135-942c-49bb-b83b-8cc6f5cccd9b/economic_recovery_update_december_2020.pdf

    • Like 3
  2. It's great news but hard to wrap my head around it in this context:

    "Almost 51 million square feet of office space – the equivalent of 50 downtown skyscrapers – is currently vacant in Houston." 

    “Houston’s office market was struggling amid a glut of available space even before the outbreak of the deadly COVID-19 coronavirus,” said Wade Bowlin, president of property services, central division of Madison Marquette. 

    And then there could be post-pandemic headwinds of additional working from home reducing the need for space and M&A and consolidation in energy.

    https://realtynewsreport.com/houston-office-vacancy-hits-highest-point-since-1980s-madison-marquette/

     

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  3. Ouch, but not completely unexpected: 

    "McClenny’s report ranks the Downtown as the 42nd worst place on a list of 42 Houston submarkets. The cost of rent in the urban center has dropped 14.3% in the last six months, 12.3% in the last year. Just 271 apartments have opened in the Downtown, and over 1,200 are under construction."

    https://realtynewsreport.com/downtown-apartment-rents-down-14-percent-while-houston-suburbs-hold-firm/

     

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  4. 4 minutes ago, TheSirDingle said:

    Not as bad as I thought, with all the doom and gloom being reported by the newspapers about the Downtown "emptiness", I was suspecting it was low 60%. Hopefully this shows that the recently revived Downtown apartment market is stronger than we thought. 

     

    I think this means we should be seeing a pretty good recovery Q1/Q2 of next year, with Q4 2020 slowly ticking up in occupancy. I'm expecting it to be back in the 89-90% range by the end of Q2 next year. Baring anything absolutely crazy happens.  

     

     

     

    Downtown is strange right now. Weekdays are fairly empty as a fair amount of people are still working from home. You can see this in the lunch spots and the tunnels. Evenings and weekends have some pockets of activity: the Harry Potter bar consistently has long lines, Discovery Green is packed, Bravery Chef Hall is packed, places like Flying Saucer, Pappas Bros are decently busy.

    • Like 5
  5. 8 minutes ago, X.R. said:

    Any update for Q2/Q3? With all the new rooms potentially coming online, I was wondering if there were more up-to-date official numbers counting the amount of housing in the pipeline.

     

    https://www.downtownhouston.org/media/uploads/attachments/2020-10-26/Downtown_Market_Update_2020_Q3.pdf

     

    Q3 occupancy of 83.1%. Seems to be underperforming Montrose/Heights/Kirby on occupancy although rates are holding up

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  6. 38 minutes ago, cspwal said:

    There's a couple of unusual residences downtown.  The office building next to Houston House is actually just a large house; there's a block-sized warehouse in East Downtown that one couple lives in.  I'm sure there's more that I haven't discovered yet

     

    National Cash Register Building is pretty cool.

     

     

    • Like 9
  7. 21 minutes ago, JBTX said:

     

    For reasons that I can't articulate, the BBEE developments and the eventual remodel of the Brother's Coffee plant make sense to me, but these just...don't. Maybe if they came AFTER BBEE changes had been done, I'd see it. 

     

    I'm sure after the BBEE development and Brother's Coffee plant redevelopments, land values will be too high to justify using that amount of land for pickle ball courts and a seasonal swimming pool

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