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McGillicuty

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Posts posted by McGillicuty

  1. Clearly - this guy either works for Crescent or the architect or another part of the team that brought forth yet another 90 degree version of the same 20-30 story box. In the past, he's obviously bought into the Crescent continued "We're about to break ground guys!" marketing pitch, despite the real message from Crescent being loud and clear (i.e. "are you crazy? we're not doing this building until a tenant comes along that takes up the whole thing!").

    But now, rumors are swirling that they landed a big tenant who loves the mid rise box. And now Crescent will say "I told you we were breaking ground!"

    No, just a Monday morning quarterback with no skin in the game, just like everyone else on here.

  2. I have to dispel the rumors that I've been reading on this board. From what I hear, there is ZERO chance 6HC moves forward anytime soon. That's not to say that it won't ever happen, but don't hold your breath on this one.

    I base my statement on the following information:

    1. I've just heard that Morgan Stanley has put the project on hold and is not moving forward-- this came from senior people involved in the project. More specifically, lenders are no longer married to this project AND construction personnel that had been staffed to this project have now been placed on others.
    2. In the most recent quarter, Morgan Stanley took a $150m writedown on its investment in Crescent. MS is actively dumping all of the trophy Crescent properties in a bid to raise cash- they currently have Greenway Plaza, Post Oak Central and One Briarlake Plaza on the block and have already sold 5 Post Oak Park to Shorenstein. They need the cash. They need the cash NOW!
    3. Wall Street firms are in the midst of a deepening credit crisis and MS is thus highly unlikely to take on a large scale spec project in this environment.
    4. By breaking ground on Main Place and Discovery Tower several months ago, Hines and Crow have already beat them to the punch and they have lost the first mover advantage. Now is not the time that MS will agree to be the last entrant into the spec CBD market.
    5. There has been no preleasing activity to date. From what I understand, this project will only move forward in the very near future if there is a big chunk of space is preleased. Anything is possible, but Houston tenants tend to plan 12 months out and they will thus likely gravitate toward Main Place or Discovery Tower. Thus, barring an existing HC tenant preleasing space, this project is on ice.

    I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but this one won't get done ... at least not soon.

    Just you wait, you'll be eating crow before too long.

  3. Well, I have been driving by late at night and there doesn't to be any cars (or heavy equipment) in the lot yet.

    Oh, I thought that maybe you had some inside info as to why it might not happen. All I have heard is that it is happening for sure. They have been delayed, but all indications are that it is still going up.

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