Jump to content

Hurricane Ike


Trae

Recommended Posts

Just a few distances to consider while looking at these maps....

Corpus christi to Freeport - 145 miles

Port O'Connor to Freeport - 69 miles

Matagorda to Freeport - 29 miles

Freeport is considered a worst case scenario for Houston, as it is due south of downtown. It might also be considered worst case for the petrochemical industry in Freeport and Pasadena/Baytown. However, as the geographical center of Houston's population is more like Beltway 8 and I-10, landfall around Matagorda might be worse for more people. All of the NHC's favorite computer models currently show landfall within about 50 miles of Matagorda.

Keep an 'eye' out. ;)

Edited by RedScare
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Ike has become a giant storm. It will stretch from the Bay of Campeche to Louisiana once it's fully in the Gulf. Its size adds a lot to the surge potential. You are in Zone A, and if it hits just 20-30 miles south of us at Carla's intensity, your home will be under water. I'm not kidding.

PapillionWings is not necessarily in Zone A. NASA, Taylor Lake Village, El Lago, and much of Seabrook are in Zone A. Clear Lake City is not.

Moreover, Clear Lake is a big place. If you're up along or north of Bay Area Blvd., you're in good shape as far as storm surge goes. Wind is a big question mark, though. If it is a major storm, she'll need to get the hell out of dodge for that reason...but not because of water.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just a few distances to consider while looking at these maps....

Corpus christi to Freeport - 145 miles

Port O'Connor to Freeport - 69 miles

Matagorda to Freeport - 29 miles

Freeport is considered a worst case scenario for Houston, as it is due south of downtown. It might also be considered worst case for the petrochemical industry in Freeport and Pasadena/Baytown. However, as the geographical center of Houston's population is more like Beltway 8 and I-10, landfall around Matagorda might be worse for more people. All of the NHC's favorite computer models currently show landfall within about 50 miles of Matagorda.

Keep an 'eye' out. ;)

Seems like it would be dependent upon the direction of movement. Freeport is really really bad for us if it is moving in a more northerly direction. But if it is headed due west, it'll still be painful but not as bad as it could've been. Intuitively, I would think that a due west storm is probably worst-case for us if it strikes just above San Luis Pass.

I won't say that a Category 4 hurricane is necessary to flood Houston. Katrina's winds were much lower, but it produced a record storm surge that was thought possible only in hurricanes several categories higher.

The bathymetry of the area that Katrina struck was crucial to the 30-foot storm surge. That will never happen in Galveston Bay. Either there isn't enough water or there are too many obstructions, or the angles just don't work out.

I researched this a good bit when I put an offer on a home that was only one row of houses off the bay...and then a little bit more as I started researching sailboats for live-aboard potential.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems like it would be dependent upon the direction of movement. Freeport is really really bad for us if it is moving in a more northerly direction. But if it is headed due west, it'll still be painful but not as bad as it could've been. Intuitively, I would think that a due west storm is probably worst-case for us if it strikes just above San Luis Pass.

Agreed...for a storm moving west. This one isn't doing that (well, so far as we know).

Perry is getting ready to call for evacuations.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metrop...an/5992505.html

Interesting that they are talking as if Corpus is the most likely spot. Given that the most accurate models are all pointing north or east of Corpus, combined with the northest side of the storm packing the highest winds, I would expect a little more wariness for the coastal areas south of Houston. There seems to be an aversion to suggesting the obvious for fear of incurring the wrath of the media bashers. It is palpable.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ike has a rainband in Honduras and one in the Florida Panhandle at the same time. It also has a tiny little eye, so unfortunately Cuba didn't take too much out of it. It just made it much bigger.

The Heights isn't in the evacuation zone, so you're in as much risk as everyone else on land. I wouldn't say everyone is safe because the last giant to come to Texas - Carla - spawned an outbreak of tornadoes up the coast.

Edited by westguy
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Red you wouldn't evacuate from the Heights, would you? Just want to be sure I'm not crazy. I just have no inkling to pack up and get a baby into the evacuation mess. I'd rather hang out with no power for a while, not working or driving or sitting in traffic.

Arrgh! I laugh in the face of danger!

captain-morgan.gif

Kidding aside, no, I wouldn't evacuate. It may get a bit scary, but Mother Nature hasn't knocked this house down in 90 years, so I'll tough it out. The shiplap walls actually make the house very sturdy. The roof, not so much, but there is even shiplap on the ceiling, so the basic box of the house is built well, even if I lost a roof. Additionally, I have several neighbors living in new construction, which under Houston code is built to withstand 120 mph. There is no need for me or you to leave our block.

To be safe, locate an interior area, like a hallway, that has interior walls, just in case. If things get hairy, relocate there until the winds die down.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Another question for RedScare:

Are you going to board up? I'm planning on staying in the Heights, too, and I'm confident the house will make it. I was just wondering about the windows - what wind speed is the cutoff for you for plywood/no plywood? Mine's all pre-cut, I just have to nail it up there. (simple right?, with NO ONE ELSE around - why do these things always blow up when my husband is traveling????)

I might board up and retreat to a friends' place out in the Energy Corridor, not so much because I'm afraid of the house, but I'd rather not ride it out alone.

I noticed Kroger has lots and lots of bottled water stocked and ready to go.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ike has become a giant storm. It will stretch from the Bay of Campeche to Louisiana once it's fully in the Gulf. Its size adds a lot to the surge potential. You are in Zone A, and if it hits just 20-30 miles south of us at Carla's intensity, your home will be under water. I'm not kidding.

I've been through Carla. No surge. I'm sorry, I just don't believe in this storm surge crap. There is no way that a storm on Galveston island is going to put my home under water. Alicia - no surge. Sorry- I don't buy the surge theory. Media just trying to scare the hell out of us. It worked with Rita - but no more.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been through Carla. No surge. I'm sorry, I just don't believe in this storm surge crap. There is no way that a storm on Galveston island is going to put my home under water. Alicia - no surge. Sorry- I don't buy the surge theory. Media just trying to scare the hell out of us. It worked with Rita - but no more.

Just to be clear -- you don't believe in storm surges at all, or you don't believe they'll reach where you live?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Charcoal and baby wipes. Good additions to the emergency chest. And those pre-moistened alcohol antispetic pads. Nice to have when the fire ants show up.

And more liquor. When the beer won't stay cold and you're taking two days to chainsaw the trees that fell over your or your neighbor's property, rum or bourbon and warm coke will work just fine.

Although, I think I'll just go to Red's. I suspect he may still have last year's storm supply of booze and cigarettes. It's all about rotating the stock. :)

Edited by crunchtastic
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Another question for RedScare:

Are you going to board up? I'm planning on staying in the Heights, too, and I'm confident the house will make it. I was just wondering about the windows - what wind speed is the cutoff for you for plywood/no plywood? Mine's all pre-cut, I just have to nail it up there. (simple right?, with NO ONE ELSE around - why do these things always blow up when my husband is traveling????)

I might board up and retreat to a friends' place out in the Energy Corridor, not so much because I'm afraid of the house, but I'd rather not ride it out alone.

I noticed Kroger has lots and lots of bottled water stocked and ready to go.

I won't be boarding up, but not for any reasons related to the storm. I....umm.....never bought any plywood. :blush:

Actually, I am not a fan of putting up plywood on my house, for the simple fact that I have 19 windows on my 2 bedroom bungalow. Instead, I plan to build storm shutters that I can simply close and latch when the need arises. Unfortunately, since last spring, when I first came up with this plan, I have done absolutely nothing to further this plan. So, rather than buy plywood that I'll only use once, I'll take my chances.

Depending on how close the storm gets, if you have the wood already cut, you should put it up. Since I am not putting any on my house, I may be available to help out. PM me if you choose to do it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Charcoal and baby wipes. Good additions to the emergency chest. And those pre-moistened alcohol antispetic pads. Nice to have when the fire ants show up.

And more liquor. When the beer won't stay cold and you're taking two days to chainsaw the trees that fell over your or your neighbor's property, rum or bourbon and warm coke will work just fine.

Although, I think I'll just go to Red's. I suspect he may still have last year's storm supply of booze and cigarettes. It's all about rotating the stock. :)

Absolutely, but in all honesty, even stale smokes and flat cokes taste good in a storm. Even that 2005 Wolf brand chili is probably still good.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

post-4109-1221020013_thumb.png Depending on how close the storm gets, if you have the wood already cut, you should put it up. Since I am not putting any on my house, I may be available to help out. PM me if you choose to do it.

Nice to know I'm not the only one who slacked on window prep.

I like this map (attachment). From: http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.html

Edited by crunchtastic
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Even that 2005 Wolf brand chili is probably still good.

It makes a good meal in any year ending in an 0-something!

You and Niche have more in common than you realize.

Windows, ugh. You've just depressed me about the eventual cost of boarding up. 26 windows in just under 1,500 square feet. (that's counting the 4-part front door window and transom as one piece). No hallways. All open to the center. Luckily I do have a spacious and accessible attic.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Basically, the current projection is 75 miles from a Freeport landfall. Earlier, The Weather Channel said that hurricane force winds are 70 miles across, and tropical storm force winds are 175 miles across. So, we are easily in tropical storm range, and west Houston could well be in hurricane range.

For those who want to estimate how far this puts Ike from your house, here's a nifty little GPS calculator.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gccalc.shtml

Enter latitude 28.448 N and longitude 96.406 W for Port O'Connor landfall. Use this site to get the location of your house.

http://stevemorse.org/jcal/latlon.php

It is actually pretty cool. My house is 96 miles from Port O'Connor. Yikes!

Luckily I do have a spacious and accessible attic.

This ain't New Awlins, sweetheart. :mellow:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

post-4109-1221020013_thumb.png Depending on how close the storm gets, if you have the wood already cut, you should put it up. Since I am not putting any on my house, I may be available to help out. PM me if you choose to do it.

Nice to know I'm not the only one who slacked on window prep.

I like this map (attachment). From: http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/home1.html

wtf? if people in the heights are concerned about boarding up, so does that mean us in the 'trose should as well? i honestly hadn't even considered it...so much for a hurricane plan! hopefully trash bags, towels, and tape will suffice. still trying to figure out what the hell i'm supposed to do with all of these batteries

edit: figured it out. my circa 1990 gameboy should provide for some entertainment

Edited by OkieEric
Link to comment
Share on other sites

wtf? if people in the heights are concerned about boarding up, so does that mean us in the 'trose should as well? i honestly hadn't even considered it...so much for a hurricane plan! hopefully trash bags, towels, and tape will suffice. still trying to figure out what the hell i'm supposed to do with all of these batteries

edit: figured it out. my circa 1990 gameboy should provide for some entertainment

Seriously, for storm preparedness, other than water, basic first aid needs, pet needs, food, etc, I always stock extra paper towels and toilet paper, extra charcoal, wipes, mosquito repellent (deet works, nothing else does), duct tape, garbage bags.

At the risk of sounding 10,000 years old, I still have a land line. You would be surprised at how nice it is to talk on the phone for those 2 weeks when you've got no power and sketchy cell service.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

BRAZORIA COUNTY MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ZIP CODE 77541

Voluntary evacuation begins at 6:00 am.

Mandatory Evacuation begins at 10:00 am.

Zip Code 77541 is generally the Freeport, Surfside and Quintana areas.

The official forecast calls for landfall at Port Lavaca, 80 miles south of Freeport. Hurricane force winds are expected 70 miles from the eye and tropical storm winds up to 200 miles out.

Computer model trivia: The BEST computer model has an average margin of error 3 days out of 100 miles. Others are 150 to 200 miles, making a Freeport to Galveston landfall easily in the margin of error.

Edited by RedScare
Link to comment
Share on other sites

BRAZORIA COUNTY MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ZIP CODE 77541

Voluntary evacuation begins at 6:00 am.

Mandatory Evacuation begins at 10:00 am.

Zip Code 77541 is generally the Freeport, Surfside and Quintana areas.

Brazoria County's web site has a scrolling marquee at the top reading

"Brazoria County is Not Ordering a Mandatory Evacuation. Brazoria County Citizens Should Stay Informed Regarding Hurricane Ike. Click Here for Details."

But when you click for more details, it just takes you to the regular Brazoria County Emergency Management web page which has no further details.

gallery_1_65_13315.jpg

But the local paper (the Facts) has an article which includes a quote from Steve Rosa, assistant emergency management director:

"Mandatory evacuation for the coastal zip zone 77541 and special needs evacuation will begin at 10 a.m. on Wednesday, Sept. 10. Residents in the coastal areas and those requiring transportation from Brazoria County to Bell County must rush their preparations to completion and be prepared to leave by 10 a.m."

Maybe Brazoria's web site will catch up when people start coming to work in the morning.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I believe in them, definitely, I just can't imagine them reaching where we live.

Scares me to dath, truth be told.

Its the wind that have us on edge. Sure am glad we cut down all of those blasted old trees, however; the whole area has hundreds of dead dried up trees that tilt even in the slightest heavy rains. Just yesterday there was a huge branch laying in the center of the street. No one cares to call 311 to remove and for FREE.

We will be blocked in no matter what. Thanks neighbors. :(

Link to comment
Share on other sites

wtf? if people in the heights are concerned about boarding up, so does that mean us in the 'trose should as well? i honestly hadn't even considered it...so much for a hurricane plan! hopefully trash bags, towels, and tape will suffice. still trying to figure out what the hell i'm supposed to do with all of these batteries

edit: figured it out. my circa 1990 gameboy should provide for some entertainment

Probably depends on the configuration of your house relative to open space and nearby trees. The front of my house faces south, which would seem to be the direction this junk will hit us, but I have a solid tree in front that should block a lot of things should they come my way. I am going to get up in it today to trim any dead-looking branches and any that I think could hit the house if bent over by high winds. I'm not boarding up though, just not prepared or willing to do it. I have 6 south-facting windows, the rest pretty well shielded by neighbors or facing north. I am most worried about not having cable for college football watching Saturday. I already have tequila and scotch, and if power goes out for a few days I will be smoking/grilling all the meat and frozen pizzas we have. Should be fun.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Probably depends on the configuration of your house relative to open space and nearby trees. The front of my house faces south, which would seem to be the direction this junk will hit us, but I have a solid tree in front that should block a lot of things should they come my way. I am going to get up in it today to trim any dead-looking branches and any that I think could hit the house if bent over by high winds. I'm not boarding up though, just not prepared or willing to do it. I have 6 south-facting windows, the rest pretty well shielded by neighbors or facing north. I am most worried about not having cable for college football watching Saturday. I already have tequila and scotch, and if power goes out for a few days I will be smoking/grilling all the meat and frozen pizzas we have. Should be fun.

We are supposed to fly to Santa Fe tomorrow for a wedding. One little problem is we have a 7.5 month old daughter that is staying behind with her grandmother. We're just trying to decide what to do, stay or go. We'll make the decision tomorrow, but if we stay, I'll be following your lead and will be heading to my local meat shop to buy some meat for smoking!

We feel like its a catch 22, if we stay, this thing will hit Mexico and we will have missed out on our trip, if we leave, it hits Houston and blows out all our windows and electricity and we see our daughter and her grandmother on t.v. being lifted to safety by a helicopter!

Edited by woodheightsguy
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been through Carla. No surge. I'm sorry, I just don't believe in this storm surge crap. There is no way that a storm on Galveston island is going to put my home under water. Alicia - no surge. Sorry- I don't buy the surge theory. Media just trying to scare the hell out of us. It worked with Rita - but no more.

You apparently missed alot of the Katrina coverage on the Mississippi coast. Giant structures were moved. I remember Camille in '69 when I lived on the MS coast. The surge was estimated to be 30'. The concrete slab highway (US-90) was lifted and completely displaced; and this was behind a seawall. So, I'm going to have to strongly disagree with your view on storm surge danger, I've seen too much.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I will be smoking/grilling all the meat and frozen pizzas we have. Should be fun.

Ok we are coming over! lol

We are open to a large field of wooded acreage of the convent across the way. Most of those old dead trees are far in or at least we hope that they dont become projectiles towards us. I will have to board since we are so exposed to the East. We are also in the flood zone. Got smacked at least 2 inches on 1st floor by Allison in 2000.

By looking at this area you would never imagine that could happen but it did. Our front yard became an ocean and when all the panicked cars/Winnebagos went fleeing down our streets they created big waves that came directly towards our houses. :angry: from the 2nd floor it really looked like the beach. Oy vey. :mellow: The folks on the other side in Idylewood need to really get ready they are inches from the bayou. A friends home got it neck deep there. Finally got fed up and moved.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If things are looking just as iffy (or worse) later today or tomorrow, and people start evacuating, we may want to start neighborhood-specific threads to coordinate between those of us staying and those of us evacuating. Or maybe just a separate thread for those in whatever neighborhood looking to connect with people in particular areas for whatever storm preparedness purposes - post/email/text reports on the storm, keep an eye on my house, keep an eye on my relative, give me somewhere to stop off along my evacuation route in case of an emergency, etc.

During Rita, I kept an eye on some neighbors' houses and would be glad to do so again. Just among the Heights people who post here, we probably have the neighborhood covered for anyone who needs or wants to leave. I think I'm a couple of blocks to the south and west of RedScare, but same general area.

Of course, I'd suggest that people avoid posting their precise addresses whether they're staying or going - leave address exchanges to PM's and use good judgment in choosing to whom to give your address.

Edited by tmariar
Link to comment
Share on other sites

If things are looking just as iffy (or worse) later today or tomorrow, and people start evacuating, we may want to start neighborhood-specific threads to coordinate between those of us staying and those of us evacuating. Or maybe just a separate thread for those in whatever neighborhood looking to connect with people in particular areas for whatever storm preparedness purposes - post/email/text reports on the storm, keep an eye on my house, keep an eye on my relative, give

Excellent idea.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Speaking w/ some of the Tropical experts I work with... they are seeming to think Brownsville to Victoria... Ike could get pick up right before making landfall... squalls with gusty winds still expected across Houston Friday into Saturday.

That's funny because the folks I've been on the phone with are very concerned of this pulling a Rita. The hurricane is on a 300 degree heading right now and is crawling. This gives the trough time to sweep down to pick up the storm. I tend to believe the UKMET and EURO. Both have been very consistant with the upper Texas coast. I think it is a disasterous situation for Houston. No evacuations for anybody except the west end. Unbelievable.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Excellent idea.

I'll go ahead and post a thread for location coordination in the next hour or so. If it doesn't get used, it doesn't get used - but I'm guessing there will be at least some use. I'll post that people should continue to go to this thread for status updates - unless someone wants to separate out this thread into a discussion thread and an updates thread. (Not suggesting it, just saying that I'll check the status of the threads before posting the location coordination thread.)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A kind of interesting analysis on 3-day models and where the storms actually hit has been posted by the Eric guy on the chron site:

http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/200...uch_should.html

Katrina was projected to hit W.Florida.. instead went 190 miles out of it's way..

I'll make sure the cat has enough food before I leave.. Glad this thing is coming in late.. I'd have to reschedule my vacation!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That's funny because the folks I've been on the phone with are very concerned of this pulling a Rita. The hurricane is on a 300 degree heading right now and is crawling. This gives the trough time to sweep down to pick up the storm. I tend to believe the UKMET and EURO. Both have been very consistant with the upper Texas coast. I think it is a disasterous situation for Houston. No evacuations for anybody except the west end. Unbelievable.

Is it me, or is Ike moving north of the forecast track?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NHC's forecast for landfall has Ike slightly below category 4 intensity. Intensity is hard to predict, but it gets even worse, and if it hits just a few miles down the coast, the surge could reach well into the loop. Bathymetry is of less concern here, but other factors including high tide and ocean depth could work against us. Port Lavaca has deeper water (I think), so Carla's surge wasn't as bad as it could have been. You don't want to be around if the Galveston Causeway washes into your backyard. Ike is an enormous hurricane and it is still growing, so the whole Texas coast is going to feel its effects. The center of NHC's cone only has to be off by about 50-60 miles for some of the worst effects, and right now there's a 200 mile margin of error.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

He's back up to Cat. 2 - 100 mph winds. Also, it's moving Northwest, but it is expected to go back to west north west later today.

Don't know if anyone's mentioned it yet, but the pressure readings they were getting even at the 10am (Cat 1) update (957MB, if I recall - now 958, I think) were consistent with a Cat 3. Which is not to say it was/is a Cat 3, just something I take is a little unusual. I'm guessing that suggests the potential for rapid intensification (which is not news), but others likely know better than I do.

BTW - The location/people coordination thread is up now - here - if anyone needs or is offering help preparing for the storm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The latest GFDL model just shifted a few minutes ago to show a hit on Galveston. I believe this is the one that the national hurricane center puts more weight on. This should at least shift the NHC's official forecasted track further north past matagorda if not all the way in to Galveston (since all of the other models still show a more southern path).

at200809_model.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

TJI:

HARRIS COUNTY NOT CALLING FOR HURRICANE EVACUATIONS AT THIS TIME

(Harris County, TX) - Harris County is not calling for evacuations at this time.

This morning, Brazoria County issued a mandatory evacuation order for special needs

residents and those residing in zip code 77541, which includes Freeport, Hideaway

Gulf, Turtle Cove, Surfside, Quintana, Treasure Island, Oyster Creek, Jones Creek and

River's End. A voluntary evacuation was called for all other zip codes in this area.

Also, a voluntary evacuation was issued to residents living on Galveston's west end.

The Harris County Emergency Operations Center (EOC) is now working on a 24-hour

schedule monitoring Ike and is prepared to help neighboring counties affected by this

hurricane.

If Hurricane Ike becomes a major threat to Harris County, officials will inform our

residents and a decision for immediate evacuations would be ordered.

Although, Harris County has not ordered evacuations, officials encourage residents to

prepare, and make the necessary decisions to protect their family, pets and property.

Everyone should have an emergency supply kit, a family emergency plan and continue

to monitor the weather conditions through the local media.

For your consideration:

HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

1238 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008

...EVACUATIONS INITIATED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS

COASTAL COUNTIES...

.AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED

NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT

225 MILES... 365 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND

ABOUT 430 MILES... 690 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE

MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF IKE MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...

THE HURRICANE IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR

8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO

CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH WOULD TAKE IKE

THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH

HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-

SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND IKE COULD

BE A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW. IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL

CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...

130 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND

OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM A NOAA

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA AND IN THE

FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO

4 FEET ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTH COAST OF THE

GULF OF MEXICO.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO

12 INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP

TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-

THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR SO ARE POSSIBLE OVER

THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...