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RedScare

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I think we need a change in Washington. I am not sure if Hillary or Barack are that change we need, but I think after 8 years of GWB we can safely say America needs a new directions. I am definitely not sure McCain is a change, as he seems like more of the same.

Our foreign policies are joke around the world, our economy is tanking, and there is more division in this country than I can remember (I grew of age under Reagan and even he wasn't this divisive).

I dunno ... something's gotta give.

If you're a big believer in generations, the trick is for baby boomers to start declining as a voting bloc. When Gen X and Gen Y take over, the attitude shifts to, "shut up, get it done, don't bother me." This is a double-edged sword, of course. When politicians actually get things done, odds are decent that they're mostly the wrong things.

I think that a sane version of Ron Paul, with the charisma of Obama or Romney (but without their slimeball aftertaste), an ability to communicate like Reagan, and a funding mechanism like a George Soros might stand a decent chance at dramatically retrenching a very large segment of the voting public.

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Nice, I love The Niche and Jeebus giving anectdotal evidence about likely Democratic turnout by including conversions with their Democratic friends. That is good stuff right there.

As an aside, I have 2 friends who are Registered Republicans in Boston. They are sisters and they own a small business together. Both of them voted for Bush in 2000. One voted for Bush in '04 while the other one skipped the election because she disliked Bush and Kerry equally. Neither voted in the primary this past Super Tuesday and when I asked why, they both told me because they plan on voting for Obama in the general election but as registered Republicans, they couldn't participate in the primary.

With that evidence in hand, I am willing to predict that Repulbicans everywhere are skipping the Republican primaries but planning to vote Democratic in November.

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Nice, I love The Niche and Jeebus giving anectdotal evidence about likely Democratic turnout by including conversions with their Democratic friends. That is good stuff right there.

As an aside, I have 2 friends who are Registered Republicans in Boston. They are sisters and they own a small business together. Both of them voted for Bush in 2000. One voted for Bush in '04 while the other one skipped the election because she disliked Bush and Kerry equally. Neither voted in the primary this past Super Tuesday and when I asked why, they both told me because they plan on voting for Obama in the general election but as registered Republicans, they couldn't participate in the primary.

With that evidence in hand, I am willing to predict that Repulbicans everywhere are skipping the Republican primaries but planning to vote Democratic in November.

Hey, you were talking about friends/family earlier. Pot, meet kettle. [shrug]

The funny thing is, though, that the media is covering this like a horse race, and its causing people to cast votes for strategic candidates rather than just for who they actually like. That means that a political analyst has to figure out the strategy of a voter responding to the strategy of a political campaign that is filtered strategically through a large number of different media channels with all sorts of different and overlapping target demographics, and ultimately that it isn't about matching the voters with who they like, but about a highly chaotic process with rules that change completely for a whole six months after round one is over.

Frankly, given the manner and quality of coverage, and given that primaries and caucuses have so little validity with respect to the outcome of a presidential election, I'm almost as willing to go by personal anecdotes right now as I am information that is widely publicized.

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...McCain's head looks like a pimple fixing to burst...

Both before and after his surgery... there's been this bulge on the left side of his face... It looks better now, especially as time goes on, but it is still noticeable... I keep asking myself what is that? Good to know he's OK now... Doesn't sound like a trivial operation (in 2000):

The operation involved removal of two malignant melanomas from his left temple and left upper arm along with lymph nodes from his neck and a portion of his salivary gland.

http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C0CE3DA103EF933A1575BC0A9669C8B63

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Well, Kinkaid, my evidence is just as convincing as yours:

I have conservative Republican friends in several states who sat out their primaries but will be voting in the general election, and it won't be for (insert Dem candidate here).

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Uh oh. There may be trouble in paradise for Barack.

Man files Federal Lawsuit against Obama regarding Gay Sex and Drug Use Claims

Yesterday, a man named Larry Sinclair posted a video to YouTube claiming to have used cocaine and engaged in a sex act with Obama when he was a state legislator in 1999.

Later in the day, Sinclair filed suit against Obama and his campaign guru David Axelrod in Minnesota district court for allegedly attempting to abridge Sinclair's right to free speech, and for waging an intimidation campaign against him.

http://www.whitehouse.com/NewsComments.aspx?start=&NewsID=106

http://www.whitehouse.com/

Smear campaign by Clinton? or the Republicans? or could it be true? They're going to pay Sinclair 10K for taking a polygraph, plus another 100K if he passes it.

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Uh oh. There may be trouble in

http://www.whitehouse.com/NewsComments.aspx?start=&NewsID=106

http://www.whitehouse.com/

Smear campaign by Clinton? or the Republicans? or could it be true? They're going to pay Sinclair 10K for taking a polygraph, plus another 100K if he passes it.

Interesting. The last time I went to whitehouse.com was back in high school, by accident. At that time it was a porn site.

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INteresting. Yhe last time I went o whitehouse.com was back in high school, by accident. At that time it was a porn site.

You are correct it was a porn site, and I can't see where the domain changed hands just formats. Dan Parisi has owned that domain since 1997 and up until January 2008 it was porn site. Now all of a sudden Dan Parisi is in the ethics business, strange strange strange. Sounds to me like he's gotten funding from somewhere to totally change the format t a smear Obama campaign, as Arsenio use t say, "Things that make you go Hmmmmmmm!" Do a Google of Dan Parisi and you will get a better idea what a piece of crap this guy is.

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here's some stuff I have found, however it doesn't show where it actually changed hands, and still has the domain attached to Dan Parisi

In 2004 Parisi decided to sell the domain, mainly because of his son who would be in kindergarten the next year. At this point he was making US$1 million annually from the site alone. Parisi had said he did not want to sell the domain name to anyone in the adult entertainment industry, and even claimed to have turned down what was essentially a blank check from a buyer hiding his identity behind his broker.

In November 2005, the domain appeared to be used for a real estate site. In December 2005 it contained only Google ads, with a notice that a site for investigating people by checking their public records would be coming.

In March 2006, whitehouse.com called itself "America's Free Speech Forum". It advertised a cartoon contest and presented links to Associated Press political news stories.

In July 2006, the site was a real estate site again, and forwarded to www.house.com.

As of November 2006, was a search engine for people, which searched over 90 million White Pages listings and 14 million Yellow Pages listings.

As of June-October 2007, the site has once again changed and now claims to be "your source for up-to-date information to help you keep track of the major party candidates for President."

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Political strategist are saying Hillary has to have 78% of the vote in the March 4th Primaries to have a chance. Looks like she may be toast. She hasn't gotten 78% in ANY of the primaries. Not looking good for the Clinton Camp. I look for the big gun bashing to come out at any time.

Here's a concept, I am thinking if Obama gets the nomination, he would possibly ask her to VP if it doesn't get too personally ugly with the smear campaign, just out of strategy alone. However if She somehow found a way pull it out, I don't think she'd ask Obama just because of the way she is. Also if she pulled it off it would be because of Howard Dean reinstating Florida and Michigan and because of the super delegates. She would ole Crazy Howard huge and he would be the VP pick for her. Just a thought not a prediction.

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Political strategist are saying Hillary has to have 78% of the vote in the March 4th Primaries to have a chance. Looks like she may be toast. She hasn't gotten 78% in ANY of the primaries. Not looking good for the Clinton Camp. I look for the big gun bashing to come out at any time.

Here's a concept, I am thinking if Obama gets the nomination, he would possibly ask her to VP if it doesn't get too personally ugly with the smear campaign, just out of strategy alone. However if She somehow found a way pull it out, I don't think she'd ask Obama just because of the way she is. Also if she pulled it off it would be because of Howard Dean reinstating Florida and Michigan and because of the super delegates. She would ole Crazy Howard huge and he would be the VP pick for her. Just a thought not a prediction.

I think the exact opposite, but for the same reason (because of the way she is). She doesn't want the #2 slot. After all those years in the White House already, and the grueling task of even running for President, why should someone of her stature settle for numero dos? I can see her asking Obama to be her VP because he's younger, full of energy, and will pull a lot of votes their way, in a combined ticket. I don't see that working as well the other way around... I really wonder, if Obama makes it, who he will pick... maybe a hispanic VP? To try to pull more of the hispanic vote? ... no predictions... just thoughts.

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I think the exact opposite, but for the same reason (because of the way she is). She doesn't want the #2 slot. After all those years in the White House already, and the grueling task of even running for President, why should someone of her stature settle for numero dos? I can see her asking Obama to be her VP because he's younger, full of energy, and will pull a lot of votes their way, in a combined ticket. I don't see that working as well the other way around... I really wonder, if Obama makes it, who he will pick... maybe a hispanic VP? To try to pull more of the hispanic vote? ... no predictions... just thoughts.

Maybe an Obama-Richardson ticket or Obama-Edwards. That would almost be an unbeatable pair.

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I think the exact opposite, but for the same reason (because of the way she is). She doesn't want the #2 slot. After all those years in the White House already, and the grueling task of even running for President, why should someone of her stature settle for numero dos?

Correct. Hillary wants the top spot and will settle for nothing less. She's better off as a senator than a veep.

I can see her asking Obama to be her VP because he's younger, full of energy, and will pull a lot of votes their way, in a combined ticket.

And I think he would accept the job, but I doubt she would offer it.

I don't see that working as well the other way around... I really wonder, if Obama makes it, who he will pick... maybe a hispanic VP? To try to pull more of the hispanic vote? ... no predictions... just thoughts.

Cheech.

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I can't believe this idiot Huckabee won't concede he's done, mathmatically out of it, what is his point other than lining his pockets.

He's doing the same thing Reagan did in 1976 (taking it all the way to the convention, if he can)... so he can get ready for the next election cycle. =)

EDIT: He's also protecting for the possibility that McCain could die. He needs to get more delegates than Romney if he wants to have any chance of being the torch bearer.

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I am thinking these numbers don't even compare as near the same situation.

1976 Republican delegate breakdown going in to the National Convention

  • President Ford 1087
  • Ronald Reagan 1070
  • Elliot L. Richardson 1(Out)

2008 Republican Delegate Breakdown currently

  • McCain 942
  • Romney 253 (Out)
  • Huckabee 245
  • Paul 14

I can't see the correlation with your statement. As the convention began Ford was seen as having a slight lead in delegate votes, but still shy of the 1130 delegates he needed to win. Reagan and Ford both competed for the votes of individual delegates and state delegations down to the wire. Neither were mathematically out of it. Huckabee is stroking it IMHO, as well as Ron Paul, what chance in hell does he have, I'll tell you NONE.

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I am thinking these numbers don't even compare as near the same situation.

1976 Republican delegate breakdown going in to the National Convention

  • President Ford 1087
  • Ronald Reagan 1070
  • Elliot L. Richardson 1(Out)

2008 Republican Delegate Breakdown currently

  • McCain 942
  • Romney 253 (Out)
  • Huckabee 245
  • Paul 14

I can't see the correlation with your statement. As the convention began Ford was seen as having a slight lead in delegate votes, but still shy of the 1130 delegates he needed to win. Reagan and Ford both competed for the votes of individual delegates and state delegations down to the wire. Neither were mathematically out of it. Huckabee is stroking it IMHO, as well as Ron Paul, what chance in hell does he have, I'll tell you NONE.

...OK... but what happens if McCain dies? Then what? Romney just suspended his campaign... he didn't 'cancel it out.' ... just kinda waiting in the wings... I think Huckabee is trying to get ahead of Romney "just in case" McCain buys the farm.

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