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samagon

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Everything posted by samagon

  1. pretty sure the level boarding is a simple fix with higher platforms.
  2. very neat, but the paint would need to be re-applied every few years. not that this isn't easy to do, it would be a thing though.
  3. that is really awesome news. $2000 isn't a lot on its own, but add it to the government check they're sending everyone, and add it to any potential unemployment benefits, and it can really start to help people that need just that little extra bit to get through this.
  4. omfg. these low lifes are clearly not in public office for the will of the people. https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/29/politics/justice-stock-trades-lawmakers-coronavirus/index.html https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/4/1/21202900/kelly-loeffler-stock-sales-coronavirus-pandemic https://www.democracynow.org/2020/3/20/headlines/at_least_five_us_senators_briefed_on_coronavirus_sold_stocks_before_market_crash despicable is the nicest thing I can say.
  5. 'flattening the curve' simply means we slow the rate of infection. unabated this thing will spread at a rate that the number of patients that need hospital care cannot receive it because they are overloaded. so yes, when you start doing the triage they are doing in Italy where they are sending people home to die if they are over a certain age, and may only receive help if they are more likely to survive there are going to be higher deaths. I grant that there are studies that a lot of people that end up on ventilators as a result of this do not recover https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/04/02/826105278/ventilators-are-no-panacea-for-critically-ill-covid-19-patients but I can find no information that says other patients that need hospital care are just as likely to survive as those that need hospital care but can't receive it because there is no room. I encourage you to review the data on this site: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections it shows (based on the current accepted statistics of infection rates, hospitalization rates, and respirator rates) what the current curve looks like, how many hospital beds will be needed at the height of the curve, and how many are available. This doesn't take into consideration the use of 'field hospitals' aka, turning GRB into a giant field hospital to provide care. so absolutely, flattening the curve will result in a less overwhelmed system. the bleakest outlook is that no matter what we do, the people who reach a certain level will die regardless of the care they receive. even still, flattening the curve and dragging this out will likely save lives. therapies such as the malaria drug (which as I've linked above) show promise. it's not like there's just tons of it sitting around, if everyone gets sick at the same time, you run out of drugs that show to work to make even the worst cases recover. pharmaceutical companies need time to create these drugs. pushing the timeline out also gives doctors and scientists a chance to find other drugs that might be helpful to keep those infected healthy enough to not only to not need ventilators, but to fully recover. there will come a time when there is a therapeutic drug (or drugs) that can be manufactured quick enough, and have a high enough success rate that we will be able to go back to work, school, restaurants, etc. even without a vaccine. so yes, every indication is that flattening the curve will indeed save lives, even if all it does is slow the rate so it gives doctors and scientists a chance to come up with a solution. I totally see where you are coming from though, it absolutely sucks. Whiting petroleum just filed for bankruptcy yesterday, the first, and certainly not the last. there are countless restaurants that closed their doors a month ago and will never re-open. there are people losing jobs. this is temporary, it may be a really long temporary, but they will find new work, they will survive. it may come to pass that in 50 years some anthropologist may find that people that lived through this have a reduced life span, but that is a very solid maybe. and then that's facing off against other maybes that scientists and doctors are going to find something to save lives quick enough. I don't think anyone knows the answers, but I think the right move is to follow the advice of everyone that has a lot more time and education of epidemiology and this virus than I do. right now, that advice is to do everything we can to slow down the spread of this virus.
  6. well, there is cobra insurance. someone that loses a job has access to insurance for a period of time after they lose their job. anyone that chooses to not take cobra insurance right now is making a bad choice. but then again, if it's a question of food vs insurance, you can guess what people are going to select. 😕
  7. who knew that there were as many bicycles in this town. I guess that some of them are brand new purchases, but it is refreshing to see so many people riding bikes, even if it ultimately is a horrible situation that's driving it. hopefully this is something that sticks as a trend after we can open everything back up again.
  8. My favorite Bill Denver song... Almost hell, South Virginia Purple Ridge Mountains, Shenandoah Lake Life is young there, younger than the grass older than the butterflies, growing like a baby ...
  9. week before last 3.3 million people filed for unemployment, last week it was 6.6. I'm sure this will grow when this week's numbers come in. edit: link with no paywall https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-02/u-s-jobless-claims-doubled-to-record-6-65-million-last-week so 10 million total jobless as of now.
  10. massive economic slowdown, sure, we're headed to that direction. massive economic slowdown that results in more than 6.5 million people dying? not even remotely likely.
  11. I don't see that as even a remotely possible outcome. This great Nation will endure as it has endured, will revive and will prosper. that is a quote from Franklin Roosevelt's inauguration speech in 1933. While Trump (and any of his challengers) is no where near as capable as he was, the message is still true. we've got car companies gearing up to make ventilators. we've got DIYers 3d printing PPE, this nation is banding together to survive, through the worst of this (and it is still yet to come), we will see the best of humanity come to the top.
  12. this I can see, but I absolutely believe that there will not need to be a choice between civil unrest (and the resultant deaths), or back to business as usual (and the resultant deaths). I am pretty sure that as we continue through this month the sobering reality of how many people will be affected by this virus will help calm anyone leaning towards civil unrest. and there will continue to be medical discoveries of medications found to keep people out of hospitals and keep them from dying (which will allow us to all go back to work without 1 out of 50 people dying).
  13. yeah, I don't think anyone that says these things actually think through what would actually happen in that scenario. the speed with which this virus can infect a population is nothing short of astonishing. when you look at numbers from such a sanitary distance it's hard to put contextualize the reality of what you are suggesting. put those numbers in Houston metro area, if the population of the greater Houston area is 6 million. 120,000 people would die this year in Houston alone. if there are 50 people that work at your office, 1 of them is going to die. and it's probably not going to be the young aggressive sales guy no one likes, it will be the super nice lady who is about a year from retirement that does random admin tasks. the reality is that it hits older people harder. I think the stats are that if you are over 70 there is a 1 in 7 chance of not surviving? those odds are for shit, maybe the people who want to just let this thing run its course can figure out a way to have this virus target their parents rather than mine?
  14. I sincerely doubt this will happen. 2 reasons, there are some very promising reports of therapeutic remedies. France has cleared the use of the malaria drug for use after 78 of 80 people treated with it got better in 5 days, as opposed to the typical 14 or longer days. https://www.dailywire.com/news/france-officially-sanctions-drug-after-78-of-80-patients-recover-from-covid-19-within-five-days the other is that you look at countries like Japan, HK and SIngapore that should be just as devastated as the rest of us, but clearly they are on a much more linear infection rate compared to the almost E^N infection rate everywhere else sees. the difference is that their society already wears masks pretty much all the time. there are some reports I've read today that say that 50% of the people infected will never show any symptoms, but will be able to transmit the virus (I've read so much on this up to this point I can't remember where I read that, or where the article was). the point is, wear masks to reduce the risk to the rest of society if you are an unknowing carrier. sure there are other factors in mitigating the spread in those countries, but if someone said to you, you can go about your lives as normal IF you wear a mask, otherwise, you stay at home. it's the responsible thing to do right now. I'm sure a lot of people would be happy to oblige, especially if there were some drugs that could be administered that reduced the severity/longevity of this. check the graph on this page, and select Texas. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections they project that we have 5 weeks in Texas before we hit the maximum cases using our current protocols. considering we are realistically staring at another 5 weeks of lockdown style approach (and we're only through 2 weeks up to now), if either/both of these things happened, and we could get back to our typical (with modifications) routine, that would be awesome. but yeah, it is going to take a lot of bank forgiveness/leniency to every level of loan, and a lot of landlord forgiveness/leniency to every level of lease agreement, and hundreds of other things to keep this from spiraling out of control in a bad way. I seem to believe that society will come together to do what's right to keep society intact. at the end of the day, I'm scared for friends that owe rent, I'm scared for my wife who might lose her job, I'm scared for my parents who are in the extremely vulnerable group, I'm scared for myself. I grieve for my friends that have already lost friends and family to this virus. this is a shitshow that will absolutely effect every single one of us in a way that we probably don't want to even imagine right now. as a society though, we have to stay positive, and work towards the best. help those you can help, and at the least, do your part to prevent the spread of this deadly virus.
  15. yes. don't bother getting disposable gloves. go to your local garden center (or if you have some garden gloves, get them out), buy some gardening gloves. wear them any time you leave your home, or your car. I feel very silly walking through Kroger with gardening gloves on, and I feel equally silly when I am pumping gas with gardening gloves on, but it sure is a good reminder to not touch my face with them on. before I get in my car I toss them in the trunk of the car and hop in and drive away. after they've baked in your trunk for a day, anything that would have survived is going to be dead, so you can feel safe putting them on tomorrow. while gardening gloves are porous it's highly unlikely that the virus will bore through the gloves to get on your skin. I say gardening gloves because they are super easy to put on and take off without having to touch things that might have come in contact with the virus with your bare hands. don't use this as a substitute for good hygiene, aka, wash your hands when you get home. anyway, take it for whatever, and be safe out there, and if you see a weirdo wearing gardening gloves in the grocery store, wave at me.
  16. I'm not starting with a conclusion, I'm starting with a lot of desires. - the desire to not see communities displaced - the desire for less pollution - the desire for overall less traffic - the desire to not see small businesses displaced - the desire for kids to not get asthma from living and going to school near freeways - the desire to not see even more traffic for a decade while this thing gets built these should be desires we ALL have, and maybe I am delusional for wishing we could have this. this is an extra-ordinary crisis we are forced to live through. every change that we have to make as part of it something we should look at and consider. there should be lessons learned in more areas than just how we deal with a pandemic. not every job can be remote, and I'm not suggesting that. to suggest that all the jobs that can be remote were already remote before this event is not even remotely (heehee) accurate. WFH doesn't have to be every day WFH. there is somewhere in the middle of where you assume I am coming from, and where you are positioning to be coming from. there is a lot of fruit on the tree not just for WFH options, the city/state should be looking to encourage ideas like this (and other creative ideas) and honestly, freeway expansion should be what happens after all the other options have been tapped. as for this, take a breath, you're making assumptions and there's no need to come at me simply because I am writing things you don't agree with on a message board. I am not sure what I wrote that made you feel the need to write that, but I am sorry for doing so.
  17. thank you, it had been a while since I read that study. anyway, point is, the 7 billion we are planning on spending to build one bigger freeway could be used as tax abatement to companies that provide WFH based on number of staff doing WFH, and days they WFH. rather than reducing traffic for a few years on one highway (and displacing thousands, and maybe reducing pollution), we'd see reduced traffic everywhere, reduced pollution everywhere, and nobody displaced from their communities for as long as they continue to provide the tax incentive.
  18. as I have been venturing out of my home and just driving around in an effort to change the scenery a little bit, I am struck by how absolutely empty freeways are. It frustrates me to no end that our state is not willing to embrace public transportation, but I still want to see that idea happen, and this freeway expansion not happen. as we all sit here working from our homes, rather than traveling into offices, another thought sticks out like the cliche'd elephant in the room. why not spend the money that would go towards this freeway on programs that encourage working from home? I have referenced a study previously in this thread from Belgium that a reduction in 10% of cars results in a 40% reduction in traffic. surely we are seeing an even greater reduction in cars for a 100% reduction in traffic. the benefits are obvious, lower pollution, fewer accidents, less traffic. this city could reduce traffic ALL OVER TOWN (not just on this freeway) it could reduce road/highway maintenance costs, it would reduce road closures for projects like this. it would remove the need to remove people from their homes and communities, the cost savings alone is reason to choose this instead of more construction. I have a hunch that even if the government doesn't offer incentives for WFH that a lot of companies that had resisted will probably start to adjust. even if that adjustment is only to allow 3 days WFH, and 2 days in the office, we are going to see a change naturally as a result of this pandemic.
  19. this is as good a thread as any I guess to not only post oil updates, but covid-19 updates. if you hear a rumor about the port of Houston closing, this is a gross overstatement: https://www.khou.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/port-of-houston-closes-2-terminals-after-worker-tests-positive-for-coronavirus/285-8daf3e82-91ba-4189-a3da-5490628e3870 just 2 terminals and from the way it reads, it's only going to be a short period of time.
  20. or even worse, like Libya. if it weren't for the corona virus, we'd be staring at an escalating Libya conflict.
  21. most oil is in the mid 20s for price. Halliburton just announced furloughs, which is better than just laying off, they are furloughed for 60 days. shit's about to get real, Houston is not going to be alone in this though.
  22. this is one of my favorite projects to watch on this side of town.
  23. If the goal is to allow for growth in the suburbs, then why is the project being sold to everyone as a way to reduce traffic and pollution?
  24. thanks @BeerNut gave it a shot.
  25. use HEB curbside, or whatever grocery store you go to, use their 'pickup outside' option. add it to your cart, pick it up tomorrow, no muss, no fuss. let them worry about making sure it makes it into your bag. unless it's more about the act of going on a quest, and less about getting what you are looking for with minimal impact to your life. in which case, it's my uninformed opinion that once all the nutters have stocked up, you will have access to all you need. yesterday was crazy at the local Kroger, I didn't go in, but as I rode by I observed the parking lot at levels even superbowl sunday can't match. I didn't want to go in. people were saying shelves were empty, produce, etc. with dry goods, I get it, they are overstocking, just in case, but produce? are they blanching it and putting it in the freezer? are they just going to toss it in a week if they don't eat it? what a waste of food. this event is causing a major panic, and I'm not saying that they shouldn't be worried, we all should, but they weren't worried until they canceled the rodeo, so now, rather than isolating, they are going to go stand in line with hundreds of other people who might be spreading this, or another disease you don't want? no thanks. I'll wait to go till early in the morning at some point next week.
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