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Luminare last won the day on February 18

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About Luminare

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  • Birthday 11/03/1989

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  1. You are clearly living in a delusion. Not to mention you are still starting with a conclusion (I don't want this highway built), and looking for data to support your claim. Working remotely is a luxury, a first world luxury in fact. Even during this pandemic its a luxury. I'm sure that a situation like this will prompt businesses to construct better contingencies for such situations, but you are taking something that is not only unprecedented, but also temporary, and projecting it out into the future as if its going to become the new paradigm. There are exceptions to rules, but you are trying to make the exception the rule in itself. A large portion of the economy just can't do this, and even if they could, I'd wager that all this isolation, and social distancing is only going to magnify in peoples minds the importance of human interactions in their day to day life, which will never be replaced by a machine. If its someones personal choice to work from home great, but honestly it sucks. Most people aren't built that way. Most people, work where they have to go to a location outside of there home isn't only healthy, but necessary. I work in a collaborative industry, and there is distance and awkwardness that just doesn't go away when working remotely that actual human interaction solves and will always be better than remote. Finally your making this claim like its some kind of silver bullet quick fix that will solve all ills, but fixing traffic problems is a lot more complicated than that. And while you are sitting at home and able to work, be very happy that you can, most of my friends are working class, and are now immediately out of work due to this. Just remember that.
  2. I'm sure they will try, but there is already a lot of micro managing during this pandemic trying to keep people from becoming sick. I think it would be ridiculous for them to try and create more detailed guidelines to try and close up logical loopholes when they should be focused on other things. I call a logical loophole since its one which can be inferred once you read the legal language and you take that language to its logical end. If they want construction to actually run properly, and done legally then that means they will have to follow the project documents, which means that they will eventually have questions on those documents which means they will need architects for help to follow them, make changes, etc... I totally get where you are coming from though, but thats when bureaucrats just need to gtfo since they don't understand the process enough to really understand that there are a lot of symbiotic relationships, and synergies that happen during construction, and during the design process, and any effort to try and tightly regulate that will only make things worse for everyone. Especially when these are only temporary measures. I don't want my civil servants wasting time and tax payer money working on guidelines, and procedures which are suppose to be temporary, and try to micro-mange and close every potential logical loophole imaginable.
  3. Here's a form letter that sent out by the AIA to offices: Here's an excerpt from the County regarding this: EDIT: In other words, technically architecture isn't included in this, but since Construction Documents are by their definition legal documents, this means that Architects will still be working due to their nature as consultants not only for their clients, but also for the documents that they draft. For construction companies to comply with the law, both regarding documents and the contracts that they sign this will keep architects at work during this whole thing. This is why in legalese it has in there "when necessary" as its not necessary that architects remain working but because they are consults which are required to be contacted when questions about documentation arise this means this thereby brings architects back into the equation as "essential" work.
  4. Lower Westheimer Corridor, Lower Westheimer Corridor, LOWER WESTHEIMER CORRIDOR!
  5. So was in a meeting yesterday, and apparently after Houston was placed on lockdown, it seems many contractors were contacting people asking if construction was an "essential" industry. Apparently it is. So construction will continue during all of this. Just thought y'all should know. What will be interesting is that with so many cars off the road, it would be a good time to do a lot of infrastructure projects. Could be a great way of hiring people who just lost their jobs in all of this.
  6. Good find. Definitely more contemporary than the previous. The retail will either be on the far west end or the far east end. Technically it will be ground floor retail (see that first band of windows just above the archs below). This will have to be done since this site is, I believe, is technically in the 100 year floodplain. Per code they have to elevate that first floor. Looks like they will put customer parking where you see those arches below the windows.
  7. What I said in the East River thread this past Wednesday. Still holds true: What is different here than in any other Economic downturn is that this is all self-imposed. Even during a recession or depression markets are still functioning just at a handicap. I've never seen it where literally everything is shutdown. Not to mention this is the first time I've seen a downturn due to something non-economic in nature. If it were just the whole Oil thing there might be a dip, but not enough to most halt operations in this town or the nation at large. I'm onboard with this two week plan just to see if it has any effect, and I'm sure this was done with the best of intentions, but I don't think any of our political leaders knew just how many people perform paycheck to paycheck (bi-weekly) and at many different income levels from the very poor to the upper middle class, and even hitting into the upper class. Many businesses function bi-weekly as well. Its ridiculous that what will be the most disastrous thing to happen from the virus isn't the infection of people, or even the number of deaths but the loss of jobs. If we go beyond 2 weeks I can only see it as irresponsible to not let people work. Especially when 75-85% of jobs can not be performed remotely.
  8. I think @samagon makes an interesting case for talking about oil and covid in this thread. What a weird intersection for the follies of our nation over the past 20-40 years or even longer. I've started to say that; If our senseless and stupid foreign wars in the past were the death for Neo-conservatism, then this Pandemic, and failed policies which helped accelerate its spread will signal the death of Neo-Liberalism. While I haven't liked the overreactions to all this, the silver lining is for the first time in a very long time the nation has a common goal and a common enemy, and this pandemic has reasserted why the nation-state is something to protect, and to maintain. Now looking back at how we let our companies put everything in China really creates of picture of how we were all sold-out. Not like its totally their fault, a lot of people stood to make a lot of money from doing that, but this whole situation clearly shows that its not only morally wrong, also a strategic failure to ask the 3rd World, and our Enemy's to be our factories just so I can get a slightly more affordable pair of sneakers. It would be one thing if it was our allies and we all worked together exchanging companies and work forces, but we literally are giving up our sovereignty to a nation that doesn't care about any of those things, and would be perfectly fine taking it away from us.
  9. With Trumps new wartime like powers enacted yesterday, this would be a great opportunity to petition the Pres direct medical industry spending to the city. The primary goal should be to start producing what is sensible at home instead of getting it all from China which isn't just the presidents priority, but is now dawning on everyone as a national priority. Our city is actually uniquely placed to really benefit from a renewed industry focus. We have a lot of warehouse space which could be converted to producing medical equipment, and medicine. We have a lot of cheap land to build new facilities. We have one of the biggest ports in the US which could then trade surplus medical equipment and supplies to our allies, and our central location within the nation would make us an ideal location sense it wouldn't take long to distribute resources to other parts of the nation in a good amount of time. Houston has a lot of new and fresh opportunities in front of it to really gain from this experience to help us better safeguard from the collapse of the Oil Industry and at the same time become a real engine for the nation at large.
  10. Your hope unfortunately just doesn't reflect reality in this case. Most people already don't work that close to one another in a construction site, and due to a lot of regulations, already have to take precautions when it comes to people's safety. The only times when they have to get close to one another is to coordinate for various instances whether it is between disciplines, detailing, etc... A construction site isn't a "gathering" of people, but individual people working in tandem with one another. The worst thing they can do right now is suspend operations unless its absolutely necessary. Its easy for someone in a bougie job like myself or someone who works in an office to say, "oh we should just all work remotely", but that just isn't the reality for the vast majority of people. The real tragedy in all this is the regular working class person because there jobs can't be done remotely. Most jobs can't be done remotely. Even if we had the tech for remote access to be possible, all these jobs require human interaction at some level because most info just can't be conveyed via a computer which is what most simply don't understand. We are seeing this issue come up at the office I'm working at. Yeah fine if a person is working on a task where they can just plug away and work continuously on something then that is fine, but design is a very interactive and collaborative process, and one of the biggest components is face to face human interaction. I can understand people taking precautions, and people should be cautious going forward, but suspending everything or canceling everything is a massive overreaction.
  11. Depends. It varies wildly between different sectors of the industry, the type of project, the financing for the project, etc... Anyone out there that says otherwise is trying to sell you something, or in this case with it potentially being a down market...buy something. Most projects already under construction will keep going as long as there is financing already wrapped up in contracts. Most will simply push ahead because we have to remember most of your projects last anywhere from 1-2 years on average. These are already long term investments. While this virus could affect us into the summer or even next year (worst case scenario), its more likely we will have to all just suck it up at some point after we flatten the curve and go back to work. The world can not handle just saying...yeah lets just call 2020 in the books. That just won't happen and with the infection rate and death rate so low for this and where it hits a particular age range it will actually be more responsible to just keep moving forward. The biggest reason for these pauses in the economy is again to "flatten" the curve because while the death rate is low the hospitalization rate is high (20%) and nobody can handle that at all. I've been walking around and people are still building houses, doing interior work for renovations, and one person down the street from where I live just started pouring a new driveway. Where you will see slowdown is in planned projects. Spec projects in most sectors will slowdown. Again though, we need to take projections with a grain of salt. Nobody has a clue how long the world will be in this state, and nobody really knows how serious this all is. Some of the overreactions is because nobody knows what to do. We haven't had any real problems with anything in a very long time, so people are definitely spooked, but its probably needed. So if the projections are wild, and nobody knows what they are going to do then that creates volatility because there is just so much uncertainty. I think we all just need to take these next two weeks see how it plays out and then I think we will really know what is going on. My gut feeling is that after these two weeks we will have a moment of clarity where we all accept that this might just be the new normal (living in the world with this virus till a vaccine is made), and just continue on living, and start things back up again. I'm think probably mid-April things will get back into form. All of this mayhem has been started not by bubbles or minerals, or money, but because of one thing we have no clue what to do with. Long story short, its complicated, its context dependent, we will be fine as an industry in the end as its not an industry fault or a markets fault, but just plain bad luck. Oh well. But the Economy after this is done...wow that will be a fun ride to get on.
  12. Yeah its not really the virus itself that makes it a concern. Its the fact that we don't have an immunity to it, and if you have it you are contagious for a longer period of time, or if you only exhibit mild symptoms you are still contagious and can infect others for a longer period of time without knowing it. What makes China different than Saudi Arabia is that China poses a greater geopolitical threat than the Saudi's. While it sucks that the Saudi's are doing this and at this time, looking through the lens of realpolitik one understands that this is literally all the Saudi's have which prevents their country from going down the drain. While the Saudi's are responsible for a lot of stupid stuff, and we probably shouldn't be entangled with them as we are, again realpolitik, they are the one power in that region that keeps it from becoming a bloodbath of chaos. A lot of nations around the world would rather have a stable and consistent Saudi rule rather than the instable rule of others like Egypt or Iraq and Iran. Not to mention nobody likes Turkey who could easily sweep in take all that territory without a Saudi threat. Keeping the Saudi's going is the only way to keep the Mid East as is so it doesn't become an even worse place. China on the other hand if left uncheck as hit has been for decades now becomes a real geopolitical threat not only to its region, but to US interests. China pretends to act like a 3rd world nation in the trade market when its actually not that at all. It flooding the market in this way is very clear manipulation of the market which they don't have to do as they are powerful enough to not rely on one industry alone.
  13. Agree. Hand sanitizer has utility because you don't need water, and its easy to apply. I just want 3. One for my car, one for at my work station, and one for when I walk through my door at home. Soap is good for when you have water.
  14. I'm going to try the burbs this weekend. Helping someone move out. I'm sure one would have better luck finding anything the further away from population centers one gets.
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